Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001691 0.001801 0.001914 0.002040 0.002176 0.002319 0.002481
2025-01-26 0.001472 0.001619 0.001778 0.001961 0.002169 0.002397 0.002667
2025-02-02 0.001397 0.001576 0.001775 0.002014 0.002293 0.002612 0.003004
2025-02-09 0.001331 0.001533 0.001764 0.002048 0.002390 0.002792 0.003305
2025-02-16 0.001307 0.001534 0.001798 0.002132 0.002546 0.003046 0.003705
2025-02-23 0.001245 0.001483 0.001766 0.002131 0.002594 0.003168 0.003943
2025-03-02 0.001161 0.001401 0.001690 0.002069 0.002559 0.003179 0.004036
2025-03-09 0.001097 0.001338 0.001634 0.002028 0.002546 0.003215 0.004160
2025-03-16 0.001055 0.001302 0.001609 0.002024 0.002579 0.003310 0.004366
2025-03-23 0.001009 0.001258 0.001571 0.002000 0.002584 0.003365 0.004517
2025-03-30 0.000972 0.001223 0.001543 0.001988 0.002602 0.003439 0.004697
2025-04-06 0.000929 0.001179 0.001501 0.001954 0.002588 0.003465 0.004808
2025-04-13 0.000891 0.001142 0.001470 0.001939 0.002606 0.003547 0.005022
2025-04-20 0.000832 0.001076 0.001399 0.001864 0.002537 0.003502 0.005042
2025-04-27 0.000822 0.001076 0.001415 0.001913 0.002648 0.003724 0.005488
2025-05-04 0.000807 0.001067 0.001419 0.001945 0.002734 0.003914 0.005897
2025-05-11 0.000808 0.001080 0.001455 0.002024 0.002895 0.004228 0.006530
2025-05-18 0.000784 0.001058 0.001438 0.002024 0.002933 0.004350 0.006853
2025-05-25 0.000745 0.001011 0.001385 0.001965 0.002878 0.004320 0.006911
2025-06-01 0.000714 0.000975 0.001345 0.001927 0.002852 0.004335 0.007046
2025-06-08 0.000694 0.000955 0.001329 0.001923 0.002880 0.004440 0.007351
2025-06-15 0.000671 0.000929 0.001302 0.001900 0.002877 0.004492 0.007560
2025-06-22 0.000651 0.000908 0.001283 0.001889 0.002892 0.004574 0.007831